Authors: Zabegalina S. V., Chigarkova A. V.
Citation: Zabegalina S. V., Chigarkova A. V. Probabilistic forecasting as a prognostic activity: approach and strategies. Psychopedagogy in Law Enforcement. No 1(68). 2017. Pp. 87–91. DOI: 10.24411/1999-6241-2017-11021.
Для цитирования: Забегалина С. В., Чигарькова А. В. Вероятностное прогнозирование как вид прогностической деятельности: подход и стратегии // Психопедагогика в правоохранительных органах. 2017. № 1(68). С. 87–91. DOI: 10.24411/1999-6241-2017-11021.
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Abstract
The article deals with the phenomenon of forecasting, as well as approaches to its understanding. Under examination are forecast-related concepts: prediction and anticipation viability. Special attention is paid to the strategies of probabilistic forecasting (reflex and unconscious forecasting, intellectually-logical forecasting, intuitive forecasting, forecasting in special states of consciousness).
Keywords: forecasting, prediction, probabilistic forecasting, anticipation viability, ability to forecast, reflex and unconscious forecasting, intellectually-logical, intuitive, forecasting in special states of consciousness, activity.